Close Brief

Forward calendar

What can move the tape

Fed, inflation, jobs, options expiration, and the November midterms. These are the dates the desk actually marks. Live US high-impact prints are merged when the calendar feed is available.

Next high-impact: Core CPI m/m

October 2026

11 marked

  1. Wed, Oct 148:30 AM

    Core CPI m/m

    Data

    Forecast 0.2% · prior 0.3%

  2. Wed, Oct 148:30 AM

    Core CPI y/y

    Data

    Forecast 2.5% · prior 2.4%

  3. Wed, Oct 148:30 AM

    CPI m/m

    Data

    Forecast 0.6% · prior 0.4%

  4. Wed, Oct 148:30 AM

    CPI y/y

    Data

    Forecast 3.6% · prior 3.4%

  5. Wed, Oct 148:30 AM

    CPI (September)

    Data

    Inflation follow-through after the September decision. A hot print reopens hike talk; a cool one extends the pause.

  6. Thu, Oct 1511:30 PM

    Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks

    Data

    High-impact US release.

  7. Thu, Oct 158:30 AM

    Core PPI m/m

    Data

    Forecast 0.3% · prior 0.2%

  8. Thu, Oct 158:30 AM

    Core Retail Sales m/m

    Data

    Forecast 0.5% · prior 1.4%

  9. Thu, Oct 158:30 AM

    PPI m/m

    Data

    Forecast 0.5% · prior 0.4%

  10. Thu, Oct 158:30 AM

    Retail Sales m/m

    Data

    Forecast 0.3% · prior 1.2%

  11. Tue, Oct 272:00 PM

    FOMC decision

    Fed

    No SEP this meeting. Statement language and the press conference still move rates.

November 2026

4 marked

  1. Tue, Nov 3All day

    US midterm elections

    Macro

    Policy path for 2027–28. House and Senate both on the ballot. Markets usually fade election night and trade the composition of Congress the next session — tariffs, fiscal, and Fed independence all run through it.

  2. Fri, Nov 68:30 AM

    Employment situation (October)

    Data

    First labor print after the election. Watch revisions.

  3. Thu, Nov 26All day

    Thanksgiving — market closed

    Holiday

    US cash session shut.

  4. Fri, Nov 271:00 PM

    Early close (day after Thanksgiving)

    Holiday

    Thin liquidity. Do not size like a normal Friday.

December 2026

5 marked

  1. Fri, Dec 48:30 AM

    Employment situation (November)

    Data

    Last jobs report before the December FOMC.

  2. Tue, Dec 82:00 PM

    FOMC decision + SEP

    Fed

    Final policy meeting of 2026. Dots set the 2027 path.

  3. Fri, Dec 18Close

    December quarterly expiration

    Opex

    Year-end rebalance plus witching. Spreads widen; do not fight the close.

  4. Thu, Dec 241:00 PM

    Christmas Eve — early close

    Holiday

    Holiday tape. Liquidity is a rumor.

  5. Fri, Dec 25All day

    Christmas — market closed

    Holiday

    US cash session shut.